Thinking about the market over the last 6-7 months, the market fell roughly 20% in the later part of last year due to the Federal Reserve being too aggressive in tightening credit. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-04-16
Fundamentals: We would describe the fundamentals of the market as negative but improving. At this point, the positive improvement seems to be reflected in the overall valuation. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-04-09
We talked about the shape of the yield curve last week and how that was a very important long-term indicator of potential negative things to come. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-04-02
The market fell about -2% on Friday as the macro-driven institutional investors reacted to the yield curve inverting. The history of the inverted yield curve predicting recessions, and bear markets, is 100%, but it is not necessarily a great timing model. Please click the link below to continue reading Market in a Minute 2019-03-26
This week the Federal Reserve meets and will have a press conference on Wednesday. We do not expect to hear anything new, no rate increases this year is what the market expects Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-03-19
The market remained “risk-on” in February as the S&P 500 gained 3.2%, tacking on to January’s finest monthly return (8% gain) since 1987. The S&P 500 is now back to that impervious level of 2800. That level was tested and failed three times in the last quarter of 2018. Please click the link below to…
The market last week broke the 200-day moving average and 20 day as well but held a support level on the S&P 500 at 2725. It is now back above the 200-day and the 20-day. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-03-12
On February 22nd the Dynamic Core Strategy had a positive signal and moved to being fully invested. The goal of the strategy is to take the volatility out of investing in the broad stock indices, specifically the S&P 500. During 2018, Dynamic Core was down -1.44% gross of fees versus the S&P 500 down -4.38%….
The market is playing a game of tug of war with breaking out or breaking down. The S&P 500 closed the week at 2804. This seems to be a tough level for the market to overcome. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-03-05
On Monday, intra-day, the S&P 500 did surpass 20% over the bottom of the market in December on Monday. This would be the start of a new bull market. It would only be natural to see some short-term profit taking. The major issues that caused the bear in 2018 are disappearing. Please click the link…