The market fell about -2% on Friday as the macro-driven institutional investors reacted to the yield curve inverting. The history of the inverted yield curve predicting recessions, and bear markets, is 100%, but it is not necessarily a great timing model. Please click the link below to continue reading Market in a Minute 2019-03-26
This week the Federal Reserve meets and will have a press conference on Wednesday. We do not expect to hear anything new, no rate increases this year is what the market expects Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-03-19
The market remained “risk-on” in February as the S&P 500 gained 3.2%, tacking on to January’s finest monthly return (8% gain) since 1987. The S&P 500 is now back to that impervious level of 2800. That level was tested and failed three times in the last quarter of 2018. Please click the link below to…
The market last week broke the 200-day moving average and 20 day as well but held a support level on the S&P 500 at 2725. It is now back above the 200-day and the 20-day. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-03-12
On February 22nd the Dynamic Core Strategy had a positive signal and moved to being fully invested. The goal of the strategy is to take the volatility out of investing in the broad stock indices, specifically the S&P 500. During 2018, Dynamic Core was down -1.44% gross of fees versus the S&P 500 down -4.38%….
The market is playing a game of tug of war with breaking out or breaking down. The S&P 500 closed the week at 2804. This seems to be a tough level for the market to overcome. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-03-05
On Monday, intra-day, the S&P 500 did surpass 20% over the bottom of the market in December on Monday. This would be the start of a new bull market. It would only be natural to see some short-term profit taking. The major issues that caused the bear in 2018 are disappearing. Please click the link…
From the peak in September to the bottom in December the market fell just over -20%, which is a bear market by definition. A bull market is a situation in which stock prices rise by 20%, usually after a 20% and before another 20% decline. So, to officially be in another bull market the S&P…
We believe there are a couple of large fundamental catalysts left for the market, a trade deal with China, and the Federal Reserve backing away from shrinking their balance sheet. Like we have mentioned previously, we are thinking it is going to be very hard for China to agree to stop stealing I.P., and therefore,…
Last week during their press conference, the Federal Reserve conveyed that further rate increases were on hold, and as important or more, for the stock market, the Fed had a separate statement indicating they would expect to operate with “an ample supply” of bank reserves. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market In…