Market In A Minute Blog

PVG Market In A Minute - March 12, 2024

We are thinking the market is going to have a reality check correction. We had three high profile names report last week that were a real gut check for the market that looked negative.

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PVG Market In A Minute - March 5, 2024

We sold our Emerging Healthcare Viking Therapeutics Position at $69: The company’s phase 2 data was released showing much better than expected results of13% weight loss after just 13 weeks of treatment.

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PVG Market In A Minute - February 27, 2024

The market reacted positively to the NVDA earnings report, up about 2% on Thursday, and the S&P 500 closed the week up just roughly 1%. It surprised It surprised us that NVDA went up so much on the report...

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PVG Market In A Minute - February 20, 2024

As we have discussed, there are numerous reasons to be now cautious on the stock market: a potential recession in the second half of 2024 (that is our current view).

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PVG Market In A Minute - February 13, 2024

The market has some feel of Euphoria, not at all like the 1990s. When large companies like META go up 20% and ARM up 60% on earnings reports there is some clear exuberance.

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PVG Market In A Minute - February 6, 2024

The market set up is odd and therefore we believe it is prudent to think about asset allocation. Not to overcomplicate the discussion with political views, and geopolitical risks.

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PVG Market In A Minute - January 30, 2024

This is a very critical week for technology earnings, with AMD, GOOG and MSFT reporting on Tuesday after the close and then AMZN and APPL on Thursday. The top 6 technology stocks comprise 27.6% of the S&P 500...

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PVG Market In A Minute - January 23, 2024

High Conviction Valuation Problem: The projected 12-month P/E on the S&P 500 is 19.9, above 20 we would consider this risky and bubble valuations.

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PVG Market In A Minute - January 16, 2024

The market is valued at 19.7x the 2024 earnings estimate of $243, which is at the outer bounds of the last 10 years when interest rates were much lower (adjusted for the negative impact of Covid on depressing earnings, which inflated the P/E).

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PVG Market In A Minute - January 9, 2024

The Big Market Issue is Changing from CPI to EPS: We get CPI on Thursday, and it is expected to be up 3.2% year over year. Goods inflation has come down while services has remained elevated due to higher labor cost.

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