Below is the New York Fed Recession Probability Model, which uses the spread in treasury securities, which indicates currently there is a 32.87% probability of a recession by June 2020. To continue reading please click the link below: Market in a Minute 2019-07-23
Read BlogWe are entering the active part of earnings season over the next couple of weeks. Earnings are expected to be down -2.7%. To continue reading please click the link below: Market in a Minute 2019-07-16
Read BlogThe Purchasing Managers Index, which you can see below, is an excellent indicator of economic conditions for the all important manufacturing sector of the economy. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-07-09
Read BlogLast week was interesting with the Democratic debates and of course President Trump’s meeting with the president of China at the G20 meetings. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-07-02
Read BlogThe stage is set for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in July, we would assume something like almost guaranteed that the Fed will cut given what the bond market is saying. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-06-25
Read BlogThe Federal Reserve meets this week and on Wednesday makes their announcement of their monetary plans. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-06-18
Read BlogAs we mentioned last week, it was highly likely that Mexico was going to cooperate on immigration because the trade tariffs would have killed their economy. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-06-11
Read BlogThe message from us, now more than ever, you need some way of contending with volatility or a bear market. PVG has multiple strategies to do this depending on your needs. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-06-04
Read BlogAs we mentioned in previous notes, the first quarter Real GDP when you exclude inventory building and trade then GDP was more like 2% instead of 3.2%. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-05-28
Read BlogThe rose-colored glasses for the market were on again last week on the trade front. We had some good news, pushing out the car tariffs on Europe another 180 days was a positive sign for the market. Please click the link below to continue reading: Market in a Minute 2019-05-21
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