From the market high in September, to the low in October, the S&P 500 has corrected about 10%. The Russell 2000, the small cap index, is down almost 15% from the yearly high to the recent low. Finally, we have a correction. The market has broken some important support levels through the widely regarded 200…
There was definitely some panic in the markets this morning, after having a second 90% down volume during the last 11 trading sessions. The international markets fell again on weak economic data. Germany is now down 20% from its recent high, and is in a bear market. We also had two technology companies preannounce bad…
We have seen a little negative volatility recently in our portfolio, and we wanted to explain why. It is from two factors, the first is the fact the market, or the S&P 500, has been hitting new highs recently, while the average stock in the S&P 500 is down over 7% from its recent high….
We have been focusing on quality companies, buying them when there is an opportunity, and being diligent about the valuations of what we own. The result is we own quality companies, which kick off nice dividends, have attractive valuations, and are also protected with inverse ETFs. Click here for complete update. PVG – Equity Income…
We have updated our 2014 Market Outlook. It contains both fundamental and technical analysis of the financial markets, and what observations we are making as we head into the fourth quarter of 2014. In summary, we still see an over valuation in the equity and fixed income markets. For this, and many other reasons, we…
What is an advisor to do with all major asset classes in an overvalued condition? We believe the use of tactical management or portfolios that protect against the downside are very timely. Generally, P/E multiples (price to earnings) are a good measure of risk for stocks, and we think it works particularly well for stock…
We have two tranches of our portfolio, the growth and income tranche and the income tranche. Together the two generate around a 4.5% dividend yield on the portfolio. We would like to focus on the income tranche of the portfolio in this update. We currently have about 33% in the growth and income tranche and…
The stock market is now into the sixth year of a cyclical bull market that started March of 2009, rarely do bull markets last more than five years. Additionally, one of the main catalysts for the market has been the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing, which if all goes as plan will end in 2014. Our…
When interest rates, rise bond prices fall. From May 2013 through December 2013 interest rates rose from 1.6% to about 3.0% on the 10 year Treasury. During this period bond prices fell around 20%. The U.S. Economy is growing around 2%, generally speaking, and inflation appears to be normalizing around 2%, getting us nominal GDP…
We are up in a down market (PVG Tactical Total Return +0.59%; S&P 500 -0.24%*), as the market fell in January and the first part of February we protected the portfolio with inverse ETFs and then took the hedges off and allowed the portfolio to rally when the market bounced. We have recently started to…